Title: Mizani Africa Survey Reveals Majority of MPs at Risk of Losing Seats in 2027
Nairobi — A new survey by Mizani Africa has revealed that a significant number of elected Members of Parliament (MPs) are at risk of not being re-elected in 2027. The survey, released on Wednesday, August 21, indicates that only 131 MPs would secure re-election if the polls were held today.
Key Findings
The survey highlights several prominent lawmakers who are currently favored for re-election, including:
Ndindi Nyoro (Kiharu) with a strong approval rating of 88.4%
Babu Owino (Embakasi East) at 83.1%
Gathoni Wamuchomba (Githunguri) with 80.7%
According to Mizani Africa, the MPs who would be re-elected if elections were held today include Nyoro, Owino, Wamuchomba, and Patrick Makau (Mavoko). Lilian Gogo also made the list, coming in 4th with a rating of 79.3%. Additionally, Peter Salasya (Mumias East) is among those likely to retain his seat, boasting a 76.9% approval rating.
Impact of the Finance Bill
The survey was conducted shortly after the contentious 2024/2025 Finance Bill, which significantly affected the popularity of many MPs, particularly those who supported the bill. This political shift appears to have influenced the approval ratings reported in the survey.
Methodology
The Members of Parliament Approval Rating Survey 2024 was conducted by Mizani Africa using a sample of 14,000 respondents from across Kenya’s 290 constituencies. The survey employed random sampling and telephonic interviews, with a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of +/-3%.
Conclusion
The Mizani Africa survey offers a snapshot of the current political climate, highlighting the challenges faced by many MPs as they approach the 2027 elections. While some MPs, such as Ndindi Nyoro and Babu Owino, are currently favored for re-election, others may need to address voter concerns, especially in light of recent controversial policies.
As we move closer to the next election cycle, the dynamics within Kenya’s political landscape are likely to evolve, making it essential to stay informed about these developments.
